Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.139791 0.158905 0.180047 0.205233 0.234498 0.267530 0.307771
2026-02-01 0.108269 0.133439 0.163965 0.203989 0.255491 0.320078 0.408071
2026-02-08 0.089535 0.116809 0.152119 0.201752 0.270621 0.364149 0.503093
2026-02-15 0.076713 0.104630 0.142682 0.199227 0.282646 0.403631 0.596958
2026-02-22 0.069248 0.098151 0.139352 0.203653 0.303851 0.458096 0.721699
2026-03-01 0.061476 0.089971 0.132145 0.200756 0.312805 0.494445 0.823802
2026-03-08 0.055869 0.084178 0.127534 0.200819 0.325839 0.538609 0.946831
2026-03-15 0.051175 0.079158 0.123371 0.200771 0.338250 0.583117 1.078752
2026-03-22 0.048065 0.076253 0.122146 0.205280 0.358922 0.645224 1.256785
2026-03-29 0.045085 0.073200 0.120256 0.208237 0.376978 0.705112 1.443028
2026-04-05 0.042395 0.070331 0.118309 0.210728 0.394329 0.766243 1.645388
2026-04-12 0.040336 0.068328 0.117625 0.215396 0.416498 0.840785 1.895480
2026-04-19 0.037794 0.065277 0.114823 0.215820 0.430502 0.901387 2.130200
2026-04-26 0.035385 0.062248 0.111766 0.215385 0.442719 0.960517 2.377767
2026-05-03 0.033006 0.059052 0.108057 0.213123 0.450542 1.010854 2.615698
2026-05-10 0.030826 0.056032 0.104380 0.210451 0.456989 1.059007 2.861011
2026-05-17 0.029642 0.054821 0.104153 0.215164 0.481386 1.156785 3.281927
2026-05-24 0.027777 0.052107 0.100613 0.212081 0.486451 1.205185 3.564455
2026-05-31 0.026375 0.050204 0.098569 0.212148 0.499386 1.277491 3.948580
2026-06-07 0.025079 0.048408 0.096578 0.212097 0.512018 1.351590 4.364109
2026-06-14 0.024290 0.047597 0.096622 0.216897 0.538269 1.471003 4.986892
2026-06-21 0.023419 0.046538 0.096021 0.220045 0.560565 1.583536 5.627280
2026-06-28 0.022568 0.045453 0.095259 0.222697 0.581945 1.698176 6.322904